===[REACH OUT I'LL BE THERE]===
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===[SPECIAL OPERATIONS DIVISION: SABER GROUP]===
Type: Emergency Report
Sender: Agent Watchman [RDI SPECIAL OPERATIONS DIVISION IN THE KIOTE PENINSULA: SABER GROUP]
Receiver: Secretary Neil Ford
Date: FROST - 44 - 1240
Operation: KIOTE GUARDIAN
>>> Operation Goal: Successfully neutralize the Imperial counter-offensive before the situation spirals out of control
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Attention!
The Mass Invasion of the River Republic carefully planned by both our allies in the Global Strategic Coalition and the Kiote Union is rapidly beginning to stagnate. Though our new friends in The Coalition have an undeniable superiority in technological fields, military prowess, and tactical thinking, that makes them an invaluable ally for the Free World - it appears that they too have their flaws. The primary one being logistical. Due to an as of yet unresolved supply crisis afflicting the Coalition, they have been unable to follow through on necessary plans in order to ensure that the Kiote Offensive would end in success. Recon flyovers of the Coalition Nexus and limited reports from our intelligence officers embedded alongside the Coalition corroborates this. In the words of one of their own, they are dealing with a logistical nightmare, as supplies have been strained from their native Planet Earth. The effect of this is that on nearly every front, Republican and Imperial forces have defeated Kiote troops, sending our forces back on the defensive at such a crucial stage in the conflict. It goes without saying that the decapitation strike in Helena is likely to end in abject failure.
A retreat now would only guarantee that the crisis will turn into an absolute slaughter. Imperial forces are estimated to completely overpower Kiote defense troops with ease. The death of Marshall Navarro is a welcome sign of potential pain in the Iron Phoenix's side. As I am writing this, the River Republic is estimated to collapse within the next forty-eight hours if the situation with regards to the war does not rapidly improve. However, this is not going to fundamentally alter the balance of power in the Kiote Peninsula. All potential armed factions within The River Republic that are aligned with Belford Alliance interests lack significant strength to be of any real potential to win a imminent Riverlander Civil War. The breakaway forces within the River Republic are cliques led by various ultra-nationalist, absolutist, and virulently anti-Commonwealth military officers within the River Republic who command large swathes of the Elite Republican Guard Forces and the massive - though poorly trained/equipped - Republican Militia, as well as numerous smaller paramilitary forces that contain ideological views ranging from "Imperial lapdragons", to "Riverlander Ethnic Supremacists", and even "Neo-Orderites" at worst. It goes without saying that there is a slim chance of convincing any of these factions of the benefits of Commonwealth cooperation.
The situation in The River Republic is nothing but dire. Whatever pro-democracy forces there are within the nation are preparing for the worst...
With more Imperial forces crossing the border, if the Republic does wind up shattering, we are certain that the Empire will spend its resources invading their former ally in order to recentralize control and establish a military government from Helena that is 100% obedient to Avonian commands. This is a process that may result in the deaths of thousands, military and civilian alike... but there is nothing that we can do to prevent this. The Avonian Empire likely sees the collapse of the River Republic not as a setback, but as an opportunity, to purge Riverlander leadership of anti-Avonian ultranationalists that were of significant presence and strength within Marshall Navarro's Government of National Salvation. It is likely that the NSE - and by extension, the Imperial Armed Forces - have detailed plans on a invasion to solidify control over the Republic, and with several battalions worth of Imperial troops massing on the Riverland border waiting for a single go-ahead from an increasingly bloodthirsty Emperor Kirk, we can only predict the worst outcome...
The decapitation strike into Helena has been nothing short of an abject failure. Our only redemption is that all hope for ULA leadership to come into contact with the Coalition's forces in the Nexus is still underway, though latest reports from our foreign friends have been grim to say the least...
And on the front of the Kiotes, we have even worse news emerging from there as well. The Warrior Elves - historically the most politically influential of the Kiote nations that constitute the Confederation - have recently voted to dethrone Grand Chief Matriarch Ani. Chief Ani - mind you - was one of the last remaining pro-Belford leaders within the Warrior Elf nation. While there is no trace of Imperial sympathies among any of the Kiote nations, the new leader of the Warrior Elves - Grand Chief Patriarch Zee - is an traditionalist who fervently believes in ending the war against the Avonian Empire even if that means negotiating with the Avonian Empire on terms of a pro-Imperial ceasefire, or even a total Kiote surrender. Though many of the other Kiote nations still remain staunchly committed to the Belford Alliance and fighting the Avonian Empire, the Warrior Elves currently sit at the seat of the Kiote Union, meaning that Zee will effectively dictate policy for not just the Warrior Elf tribes but the ENTIRE Kiote Union.
The narrative has been taken without permission. Report any sightings.
With this, we predict the following:
1) The River Republic will collapse, shattering along ideological, political, and ethnic lines in violent warfare.
2) This collapse will be justification for the Avonian Empire to launch a mission to "Stabilize" the Republic immediately on their southern border, effectively turning the Imperial Emergency into a formal declaration of war against their own ally.
3) The Avonians will centralize control, and Imperial forces will expel Kiote troops back across the border fully, preparing for an overwhelming assault on the Kiote Union that our ally will be both unable and unwilling to ward off.
4) The Kiote War will be over with the Avonian Empire obtaining absolute supremacy in Western Farewind, shattering Belford interests in the continent, faith in our alliance for freedom, and the very integrity of national resolve. This outcome can very well end the Cold War effectively, with Imperial absolutism achieving near total victory across Farewind, squashing the light of our torch... perhaps forever. Not to mention the mass destruction such an Imperial victory could cause. If the Empire unifies the Kiote Peninsula under military rule or the rulership of a new Riverlander puppet state, the ethnic violence that will follow from the Riverlanders attempting to enforce their supremacy over the Kiote people will be nothing but catastrophic. On a scale unseen, perhaps, since the Sacred War. The death toll and numbers displaced could range from the hundreds of thousands - to the millions...
Follow this line of reason and you will see how we cannot allow this to happen, no matter the cost, the Kiote Union MUST remain aligned to the Belford Alliance. Imperial Forces cannot be allowed to win. This is a non-negotiable.
As such, the RDI recommends the Premier and the Secretary of Defense to provide the Commonwealth Armed Forces permission to deepen Commonwealth involvement in The Kiote Crisis. This will escalate the crisis further, and we will have to prepare for a Second Kiote War with full intervention from our forces. We may need to fight on the frontlines against Imperial and Riverlander troops. This is not ideal, but we have no other choice in the matter. The Empire has forced our hand.
Operation MKSHUFFLE: To be undertaken by the Oceanian and Ostralandian Justice Department, as well as the Provincial Bureau of Safety (PBS). MKSHUFFLE recommends that the Commonwealth state apparatus begins approval of funds to media agencies reporting on the Kiote Crisis, with the intent of generating public consent for the wartime effort. It is undeniable that popularity for fighting this war, even despite its defensive nature, is at an all time low. In order to ensure ease of conduct and to allow us to commit to a ground war if need be, it is vital that public outcry is mitigated. Deliberate censorship campaigns through fines, lawsuits, harassment, and intimidation can be leveraged against major anti-war factions and personalities throughout the Commonwealth. If this does not work, RDI subcommittees have been given approval to seek out more direct ways of eliminating them while reducing the chances of RDI or Commonwealth implication.
Operation KIOTE GUARDIAN: Is an "Limited Air War" intended to destroy and delay any Imperial forces crossing the border into the Kiote Peninsula. Utilizing Commonwealth air superiority in the region, we hope to be able to decimate any Continental Pact troops wishing to monopolize on the collapse of Kiote lines. But most importantly, the purpose of KIOTE GUARDIAN is to provoke the Avonian Empire and Continental-Unity Pact in order to intentionally escalate the war, where we'll hold a more distinct advantage. Avonian political leadership is notoriously hubristic, and even small provocations - such as declaring a "limited air war" - will inevitably invite retaliation from the Empire. If we can successfully infuriate Imperial leadership enough, they will unwittingly provide us with enough justification to escalate the war through retaliatory action of their own. Something that will be necessary for the oncoming media war that will make or break the next few months of the conflict.
Operation BREAKTHROUGH: recommends that the Commonwealth swells troop numbers to at least 100,000 servicemen to shore up Kiote defenses and prepare for an imminent Imperial invasion. This will be a blatant act of escalation, but the RDI can assure you that domestic resistance to intervention can be limited. Through precise dispersion of pro-war information within news reports and media outlets, we can generate consent to intervene in the Kiote War. This is our current, most direct, and most immediate course of action to withstand the threat of a complete frontline collapse in the Kiote Peninsula. While it is doubtful that entrenched Kiote Defense Forces will be defeated across the vast and notoriously difficult terrain of the peninsula, in order to prevent Imperial forces from gaining a foothold within the territory of our own allies, it is necessary that we formulate a direct military response immediately.
Kiote politics presents a different and perhaps more dire threat to the integrity of our alliance. But luckily, the RDI has been acutely aware of growing anti-Commonwealth sentiment within the Warrior Elf Tribes for a while now. RDI-SOD stands adequately prepared to act on plans drafted as an emergency fallback for situations like these. Several other intelligence actions will be necessary to ensure to loyalty of the Kiote Union to remain committed to the war effort.
Operation BLUE ZONE: Though Chief Ani may have been ousted from power within Warrior Elf leadership, we do still have pro-Commonwealth leaders throughout the nations of the Kiote Union who all have seats on the Kiote Council and significant sway within the nation. The largest of these is King Archibald III of the "Glorious Kingdom of Seville". King Archibald is a modernizer, and Seville currently stands poised as the most industrialized, militarized, and "modern" of the Kiote Nations - behind of course the River Republic. The strength of the Seville Kingdom and the size of its rapid rise into economic prosperity has all been at the behest of Commonwealth business interests opening up shop within the Kingdom and propping up Archibald's regime. Many critics of King Archibald compare him to Marshall Navarro due to their similarities in brutal, militaristic, suppression of democratic opposition and fostering a cult of personality within their respective nations. However, there is no clearer choice of a person to put our faith in. Archibald is completely dependent on Commonwealth support to keep the economic boom growing and to keep his government stable. His army has been trained by the Commonwealth. He surrounds himself with advisors loyal to Commonwealth interests, and he himself has committed to shaping the nation and its people along Commonwealth ideological visions - minus the blatant authoritarianism of course. While his controversies may put him at odds with some members of government, the potential to shape the "Second River Republic" into the new head of the Kiote Union is a benefit only fools would turn down. As such, BLUE ZONE advises that the RDI Greenlights the transfer of weapons, vehicles, equipment, financial assistance, political support, and intelligence support to The Seville Kingdom in order to challenge the rise of Kiote Nationalism among figures like Chief Zee. The Kiote Union will have elections to determine which leader will head the Union, and with BLUE ZONE's support, we can ensure that Archibald will take the seat at the Union's head.
Operation SUCCUBUS: If BLUE ZONE fails however, we have other plans. The Kiote Defense Forces and legendary Kitchi Warriors are known primarily for their informal nature. This presents the RDI with a unique opportunity to exploit this. It is clear that many within Warrior Elf Tribes resent the rise of Chief Zee and see him as a danger, and this fear can be monopolized on for benefit. By careful drops of sufficient payola, engineering a few scandals within Zee's closest advisors, silencing a couple of voices, and holding vital conversations with leaders among the Kiote Defense Forces and Kitchi Warriors - we may be able to persuade sufficient numbers within The Warrior Elves to turn their weapons against Chief Zee and oust him from power. Operation SUCCUBUS advises the RDI to secure the loyalty of Warrior Elf military forces before Zee has a chance to solidify his power. And with the help of our Seville friends, a military coup can reinforce Belford's control over The Kiote Peninsula for good...
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==The Revolutionary Department Of Intelligence==
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[THE CRISIS IS REACHING IT'S BREAKING POINT]
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==[VIDEO LINK TO KIOTE GUARDIAN]==
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